Mitchelton vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
MIT
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 1
IPS
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 0
MIT
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 1
MIT
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 0
HPH
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
QUE
6%
13%
81%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
IPS
4 - 1
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALB
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |