Mitchelton vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
QUE
21%
21%
59%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
MIT
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 1
IPS
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
MIT
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 0
TAR
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
EAS
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
QUE
7 - 2
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
ROC
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IPS
3 - 1
UNI
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
CAP
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +4 |