Mitchelton vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
EAS
4 - 0
MIT
74%
16%
9%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MGH
2 - 1
MIT
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MIT
0 - 7
BRI
14%
22%
65%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
MIT
1 - 3
PIN
41%
24%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MIT
0 - 2
WOL
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
PIN
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 1
MGH
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 1
EAS
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WOL
0 - 3
PEN
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |