Mitchelton vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 4
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 3
MIT
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
MIT
3 - 1
ROC
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 0
MIT
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
MIT
3 - 0
HPH
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 3
GRA
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
MIT
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 3
LOG
65%
17%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
PEN
38%
22%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |