Mitchelton vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
QUE
21%
21%
59%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
MIT
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MIT
0 - 1
IPS
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
MIT
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOG
2 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 3
LOG
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LOG
3 - 0
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOG
3 - 2
ROC
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |