Mitchelton vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 4
MIT
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
QUE
28%
21%
51%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIT
5 - 3
EAS
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HPH
0 - 1
MIT
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MIT
1 - 2
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 5
QUE
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 0
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
3 - 1
ROC
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 0
CAP
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
RED
2 - 3
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |