Misto vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
MIS
53%
25%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIS
1 - 2
COS
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
MIS
23%
23%
53%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -3 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIS
0 - 2
NOV
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
MIS
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
3 - 1
CHA
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COS
4 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 3
COR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |