Misto vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 2
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 2
MIS
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MIS
3 - 3
NOV
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
AQU
3 - 0
MIS
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIS
1 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
4 - 1
CEN
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 3
NOV
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
AQU
1 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
COM
5 - 1
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |