Misto vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
MIS
59%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
MIS
74%
16%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 0
SAA
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
1 - 0
MIS
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIS
5 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAA
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AQU
0 - 2
CHA
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
COM
1 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |