Misto vs Chapadão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Misto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MIS
2 - 1
SAA
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AQU
3 - 0
MIS
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEN
3 - 0
MIS
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 4
MIS
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MIS
3 - 4
COM
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
3 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COS
0 - 2
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAA
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AQU
2 - 1
CHA
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |