Mistelbach vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
MIS
45%
25%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
MIS
4 - 2
SCH
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
AMS
1 - 3
MIS
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
MIS
2 - 2
LAN
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
KOT
1 - 1
MIS
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
STP
5 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 0
STP
23%
23%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
STP
4 - 1
ARD
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SCR
2 - 2
STP
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
STP
2 - 1
BAD
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |