Mistelbach vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 0
MIS
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 4
SOL
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SVS
3 - 2
MIS
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
MIS
1 - 1
LEO
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MIS
3 - 1
GAF
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SCR
2 - 2
SVS
43%
25%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 4
SCR
37%
25%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SCR
1 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SVH
6 - 1
SCR
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 3
SCR
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |