Missolonghi vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+136%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
18º
18º
18º
56
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 53 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
61% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Missolonghi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
IAL
3 - 2
MIS
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
5 - 1
MIS
74%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MIS
1 - 1
AFA
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
MIS
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
4 - 0
MIS
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 1
FIL
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 0
FCM
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
1 - 2
RAF
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 1
FCM
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 0
IAL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |