Mislata vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mislata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NUC
5 - 0
MIS
71%
19%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 3
ALT
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 3
MIS
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIS
2 - 0
ELD
30%
26%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LLO
2 - 1
MIS
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 0
RIB
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALZ
30%
30%
41%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAS
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |