Mirassol FC vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
MIR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
5 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
MIR
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 0
CAT
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 3
MIR
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 2
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
ITU
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |