Mirassol vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 3
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 2
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
MIR
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
50%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
NOV
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAL
12%
24%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |