Mirassol FC vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 0
INT
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
MIR
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
MIR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 0
MIR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAX
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAX
4 - 1
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAX
0 - 0
MIR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INT
0 - 3
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 2
ECA
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |