Mirasol-Baco vs Atletic Sant Just analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LSA
3 - 0
MIR
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
PLA
73%
15%
12%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TTR
3 - 0
MIR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
5 - 1
SBD
76%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
CAS
64%
18%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atletic Sant Just
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SJU
5 - 0
JUA
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
SJU
16%
18%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SJU
5 - 0
MON
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 3
SJU
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SJU
4 - 2
CDE
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |