Mirasol-Baco vs Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
JOA
4 - 1
MIR
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
CAR
48%
21%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 5
MIR
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 2
SUR
32%
21%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SSC
0 - 0
MIR
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 2
LSA
53%
20%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLV
0 - 1
JUA
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUA
3 - 1
FRU
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CTR
3 - 1
JUA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 3
VIL
44%
21%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |