Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Mirandés vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MIR
4 - 1
ACF
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 2
MIR
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 2
RUN
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
RSO
1 - 1
MIR
14%
26%
60%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
2 - 1
OSA
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
ATB
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATB
2 - 2
HOS
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
ATB
40%
27%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATB
3 - 0
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REU
1 - 0
ATB
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |