Miramar vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.4%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
9º
2º
13
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 39 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 35 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 31 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 28 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 15 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 14 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 13 |
10º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
98% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MIR
4 - 2
UHC
89%
7%
4%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 3
MIR
56%
20%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
MIR
1 - 1
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
WSU
2 - 2
MIR
24%
20%
56%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
MIR
0 - 3
NAP
52%
20%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
WKA
0 - 6
WSU
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
IBU
4 - 1
WKA
18%
18%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
WKA
1 - 9
WEL
5%
9%
86%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
UHC
3 - 3
WKA
34%
21%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WKA
0 - 3
WEL
6%
11%
83%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |