Miramar vs Waterside Karori analysis

Miramar Waterside Karori
35 ELO 16
21.6% Tilt 15%
8979º General ELO ranking 12305º
18º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
90.5%
Miramar
6.7%
Draw
2.8%
Waterside Karori

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.4%
Win probability
Miramar
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.6%
2.8%
Win probability
Waterside Karori
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Miramar
+22%
-56%
Waterside Karori

Points and table prediction

Miramar
Their league position
Waterside Karori
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wellington Olympic
35
45
98.5%
Miramar
29
39
80%
Wellington Phoenix II
25
35
68.5%
Western Suburbs
24
31
76%
Napier City Rovers
22
28
89%
Waterside Karori
13
16
24.5%
Petone
11
15
22%
Upper Hutt City
11
15
29%
North Wellington AFC
10º
10
14
28%
Island Bay United
12
13
10º
41%
Expected probabilities
Miramar
Waterside Karori
Final Series
98% 0%
Mid-table
2% 97.5%
Relegation
0% 2.5%

ELO progression

Miramar
Waterside Karori
Island Bay United
Napier City Rovers
North Wellington AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Miramar
Miramar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
MIR
Miramar
4 - 2
Upper Hutt City
UHC
89%
7%
4%
34 17 17 0
12 Jul. 2025
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
2 - 3
Miramar
MIR
56%
20%
25%
33 36 3 +1
28 Jun. 2025
MIR
Miramar
1 - 1
North Wellington AFC
NWA
92%
6%
2%
33 13 20 0
21 Jun. 2025
WSU
Western Suburbs
2 - 2
Miramar
MIR
24%
20%
56%
33 24 9 0
14 Jun. 2025
MIR
Miramar
0 - 3
Napier City Rovers
NAP
52%
20%
28%
34 33 1 -1

Matches

Waterside Karori
Waterside Karori
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
WKA
Waterside Karori
0 - 6
Western Suburbs
WSU
15%
18%
67%
17 28 11 0
12 Jul. 2025
IBU
Island Bay United
4 - 1
Waterside Karori
WKA
18%
18%
65%
18 12 6 -1
28 Jun. 2025
WKA
Waterside Karori
1 - 9
Wellington Olympic
WEL
5%
9%
86%
20 47 27 -2
20 Jun. 2025
UHC
Upper Hutt City
3 - 3
Waterside Karori
WKA
34%
21%
46%
20 17 3 0
14 Jun. 2025
WKA
Waterside Karori
0 - 3
Wellington Olympic
WEL
6%
11%
83%
21 47 26 -1