Miramar vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11%
8.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
29
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
NAP
67%
16%
18%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
10%
13%
77%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 5
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
73%
16%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
STO
2 - 1
PET
34%
21%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
4 - 0
WEL
7%
13%
81%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
71%
15%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 5
WEL
6%
10%
85%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
WEL
10%
14%
77%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |