Miramar vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TCU
0 - 4
MIR
27%
23%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 1
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CAN
5 - 3
MIR
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MIR
1 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 2
MIR
34%
23%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 5
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
4 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
TCU
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CAN
2 - 0
DUN
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAV
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |