Miramar vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MIR
4 - 1
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 4
MIR
49%
24%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
MET
1 - 2
MIR
15%
21%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
6 - 3
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
2 - 2
WAI
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
TCU
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
DUN
3 - 1
TCU
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 0
DUN
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
DUN
1 - 5
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
DUN
4 - 1
CHR
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |