Miramar vs Caversham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
NSH
1 - 4
MIR
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
1 - 2
MIR
35%
24%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
MIR
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 0
TCU
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
4 - 1
MIR
32%
24%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 2
EAU
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
TCU
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CAN
4 - 1
CAV
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
CAV
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
NSH
0 - 2
CAV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |