Miraflores de la Sierra vs Jarama Race B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miraflores de la Sierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAB
1 - 1
MSI
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MSI
0 - 0
MOR
21%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 11
MSI
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MSI
6 - 0
PED
33%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
MSI
1 - 3
UAR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jarama Race B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 0
JAR
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
6 - 3
JAR
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JAR
2 - 2
UDT
40%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |