Miracema EC vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miracema EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GUR
2 - 0
MEC
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MEC
2 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PAL
6 - 2
MEC
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MEC
5 - 2
AAA
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
GUR
6 - 0
MEC
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PAL
8 - 1
TOC
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
0 - 4
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |