Reilac Shiga vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 2
MIO
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MIO
0 - 2
SON
17%
23%
59%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MIO
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MIO
0 - 0
YOK
46%
26%
29%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MIO
1 - 3
KGU
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
URA
2 - 0
TOC
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
4 - 0
FAG
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 3
VER
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
TOC
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
YGU
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |