Reilac Shiga vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reilac Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HON
2 - 3
MIO
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MIO
1 - 1
FAG
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 0
MIO
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RYK
1 - 4
MIO
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MIO
2 - 0
ZWE
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
TOC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 0
HON
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 2
TOC
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 1
KAM
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
HON
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |