Minnesota TwinStars vs Aris analysis

Minnesota TwinStars Aris
24 ELO 10
3.8% Tilt 8.6%
40115º General ELO ranking 40113º
563º Country ELO ranking 561º
ELO win probability
89.9%
Minnesota TwinStars
7.2%
Draw
2.8%
Aris

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
Minnesota TwinStars
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.8%
Win probability
Aris
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Minnesota TwinStars
-6%
+18%
Aris

Points and table prediction

Minnesota TwinStars
Their league position
Aris
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
12º
6
17º
25º
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
24º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Duluth
30
34
86%
Steel City
32
32
86%
Michigan Rangers
24
25
31%
Dakota Fusion
25
25
31%
Des Moines United
25
25
62%
Tulsa Athletics
20
23
47.5%
Med City
21
22
28%
Oklahoma City 1889
19
22
38.5%
Cleveland SC
20
20
89.5%
MIlwaukee Torrent
10º
18
18
10º
100%
Carpathia FC
11º
17
17
11º
100%
Minnesota TwinStars
12º
14
17
12º
89%
Erie Commodores
14º
13
14
13º
55%
Sunflower State FC
13º
13
13
14º
66%
Kansas City Sol
15º
12
12
15º
100%
Iowa Raptors
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Ehtar
17º
11
11
17º
59%
Demize NPSL
19º
9
10
18º
15%
Akron City FC
18º
10
10
19º
52%
Joy St. Louis Park
20º
9
9
20º
49%
Sioux Falls Thunder
25º
5
8
21º
18.5%
Reign FK
21º
8
8
22º
34%
Arkansas Wolves
23º
7
8
23º
3.5%
St Louis Club Atletico
22º
7
7
24º
60.5%
Aris
24º
6
6
25º
86.5%
FC Columbus
26º
3
3
26º
100%
Expected probabilities
Minnesota TwinStars
Aris
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Minnesota TwinStars
Aris
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Minnesota TwinStars
Minnesota TwinStars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jun. 2023
MEC
Med City
1 - 1
Minnesota TwinStars
MIN
77%
14%
9%
24 39 15 0
22 Jun. 2023
MIN
Minnesota TwinStars
1 - 2
Dakota Fusion
DAK
34%
21%
45%
24 28 4 0
18 Jun. 2023
DUL
Duluth
6 - 1
Minnesota TwinStars
MIN
84%
10%
6%
25 43 18 -1
15 Jun. 2023
ARI
Aris
3 - 4
Minnesota TwinStars
MIN
6%
11%
83%
24 10 14 +1
11 Jun. 2023
MIN
Minnesota TwinStars
3 - 3
Sioux Falls Thunder
SFT
80%
12%
8%
24 17 7 0

Matches

Aris
Aris
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2023
DAK
Dakota Fusion
3 - 1
Aris
ARI
92%
6%
2%
10 30 20 0
22 Jun. 2023
ARI
Aris
1 - 7
Med City
MEC
8%
14%
78%
11 38 27 -1
18 Jun. 2023
ARI
Aris
1 - 0
Joy St. Louis Park
JOY
6%
12%
82%
9 22 13 +2
15 Jun. 2023
ARI
Aris
3 - 4
Minnesota TwinStars
MIN
6%
11%
83%
10 24 14 -1
11 Jun. 2023
DUL
Duluth
5 - 0
Aris
ARI
92%
6%
2%
10 42 32 0