Minnesota TwinStars vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minnesota TwinStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
4 - 0
DAK
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
SFT
1 - 4
MIN
21%
19%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 4
MEC
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 3
MIN
17%
19%
64%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MIN
7 - 0
ARI
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
DUL
7 - 0
DAK
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SFT
0 - 1
DUL
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
DUL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
DUL
1 - 1
MEC
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
DAK
0 - 3
DUL
16%
18%
66%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |