Minija Kretinga vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
11º
16
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
DTE
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FHL
0 - 1
MIN
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
MIN
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
NEV
1 - 3
MIN
63%
20%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 4
SIA
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
PAN
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FHL
2 - 1
PAN
25%
22%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |