Minija Kretinga vs Atmosfera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
16º
11º
18
5º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
BAB
15%
22%
64%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
MIN
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
MIN
78%
16%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
MIN
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 3
ATM
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 0
ATM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
5 - 0
FKE
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ATM
0 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
NEV
0 - 1
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |