Minerva Lintgen vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva Lintgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JEU
0 - 1
MLI
27%
25%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 1
PRE
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 4
MLI
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MLI
4 - 0
KEH
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MLI
3 - 2
GRE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
KEH
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
GRE
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FEU
4 - 2
MER
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MER
3 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |