Minerva Lintgen vs Norden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
46.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
16º
15º
48
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva Lintgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MLI
0 - 4
BAS
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
MLI
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MLI
1 - 2
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVE
4 - 1
MLI
77%
16%
8%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
3 - 2
HOS
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FFN
0 - 4
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
FFN
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FFN
2 - 4
YBD
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
FFN
30%
21%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FFN
1 - 4
GRE
23%
20%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |