Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/32
Global 7-1
Mineros vs La Troncal FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.3%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 3
MIN
8%
15%
78%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 3
ESA
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 0
DLE
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DLE
1 - 1
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Troncal FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 3
MIN
8%
15%
78%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |