Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 3-0
Mineros vs CD Ciudadelas del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MIN
4 - 0
LTU
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 3
MIN
8%
15%
78%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 3
ESA
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
MIN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ciudadelas del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIA
0 - 1
CDC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
RIA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RBA
0 - 0
CDC
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
0 - 1
RBA
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |