Mineros de Guayana vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
TUC
76%
17%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIN
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
MIN
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
MIN
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 2
MIN
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LLA
0 - 0
ARA
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIN
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIR
28%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |