Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Topos de Reynosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
1 - 2
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
NEX
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 3
MIN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
REB
1 - 0
MIN
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Topos de Reynosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
1 - 2
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAC
6 - 0
TOP
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
3 - 0
DSJ
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
TOP
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
TOP
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |