Mineros de Fresnillo vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
7º
7º
25
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
MIN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
4 - 0
RVC
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
CIM
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
RAF
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 3
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
ADG
78%
14%
9%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GAV
1 - 0
RAF
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
RAF
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |