Mineros de Fresnillo vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
MIN
33%
24%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MIN
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MIN
5 - 0
CSL
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MZA
1 - 2
DUR
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 2
LEO
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
DUR
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DUR
2 - 0
TIJ
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 1
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |