Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
12º
11º
25
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 1
MIN
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
MIN
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 3
ZAC
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
4 - 0
LCU
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 1
MIN
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 0
MFC
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 2
CIM
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
LEO
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ADG
7 - 5
CIM
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |