Mineros de Fresnillo vs Cimarrones II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
9º
8º
18
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 17 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 17 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HDZ
2 - 0
MIN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
3 - 1
MIN
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
ZAC
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 0
NAY
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 0
MIN
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 2
ZAC
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 0
NAY
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
CSI
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CSI
0 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
CSI
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |