Mineros de Fresnillo vs Celaya Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MIN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 2
REB
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
MIN
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 1
CAL
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SAH
2 - 1
MIN
45%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
CAC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DSJ
1 - 2
CEL
38%
22%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 0
TOP
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NEX
3 - 0
CEL
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |