Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 6-5
Mineros de Fresnillo vs Atlético San Luis II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 1
TOP
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TOP
1 - 2
MIN
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
NEX
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 3
MIN
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético San Luis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
5 - 1
COR
58%
22%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COR
3 - 3
ASL
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 2
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REB
1 - 1
ASL
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |