Mineiros vs Umuarama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mineiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 1
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
APA
4 - 4
MIN
17%
20%
64%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 1
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
0 - 2
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
IPO
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
CNO
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +2 |