Minas vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
MIN
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
AME
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
1 - 2
MIN
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 1
SOC
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
MIN
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
DEM
3 - 0
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 2
DEM
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
DEM
1 - 0
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEM
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
DEM
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |