Minas vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
AMF
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
BOA
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIN
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 0
TUP
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | +1 |