Milton Keynes Dons vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
STE
3 - 2
MKD
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
MKD
2 - 3
BHA
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GBO
3 - 1
MKD
9%
14%
77%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CRA
0 - 4
MKD
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
HAL
1 - 0
MOR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
SUN
9%
16%
76%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |