Milton Keynes Dons vs AFC Wimbledon analysis

Milton Keynes Dons AFC Wimbledon
57 ELO 64
1.8% Tilt 17.6%
4046º General ELO ranking 2394º
109º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
33.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.4%
Draw
39.3%
AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
Milton Keynes Dons
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.3%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milton Keynes Dons
-12%
+5%
AFC Wimbledon

Points and table prediction

Milton Keynes Dons
Their league position
AFC Wimbledon
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
23º
19º
73
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Doncaster Rovers
84
84
100%
Port Vale
80
80
100%
Bradford City
78
78
100%
Walsall
77
77
100%
AFC Wimbledon
73
73
100%
Notts County
72
72
100%
Chesterfield
70
70
100%
Salford City
69
69
100%
Grimsby Town
68
68
100%
Colchester United
10º
67
67
10º
100%
Bromley
11º
66
66
11º
100%
Swindon Town
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
62
62
13º
0%
Fleetwood Town
14º
60
60
14º
0%
Cheltenham Town
15º
60
60
15º
0%
Barrow
16º
59
59
16º
100%
Gillingham
17º
58
58
17º
100%
Harrogate Town
18º
53
53
18º
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Tranmere Rovers
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Accrington Stanley
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Newport County
22º
49
49
22º
100%
Carlisle United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Morecambe
24º
36
36
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Milton Keynes Dons
AFC Wimbledon
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Milton Keynes Dons
AFC Wimbledon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2025
FLE
Fleetwood Town
2 - 1
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
40%
26%
34%
58 60 2 0
18 Jan. 2025
WAL
Walsall
4 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
55%
24%
22%
59 67 8 -1
04 Jan. 2025
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 1
Salford City
SAL
38%
26%
36%
60 62 2 -1
01 Jan. 2025
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
51%
23%
26%
59 61 2 +1
29 Dec. 2024
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
41%
26%
33%
59 62 3 0

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2025
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
64%
21%
15%
64 53 11 0
02 Jan. 2025
NEW
Newport County
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
32%
27%
41%
64 55 9 0
30 Dec. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
60%
23%
17%
64 58 6 0
26 Dec. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
55%
23%
22%
64 57 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
50%
25%
26%
65 63 2 -1